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Evaluate the nuclear deal from the bottom up
Whenever I see talk about the Iran deal, it is very easy to fall into a reactive mindset: “It’s good, so it must be bad!” and “It’s bad, so it must be good!”
After all, we have been told for some time now that “If you’re not part of the solution, you’re part of the problem.”, and the tactic for gaining acceptance of a bad idea is to make it seem like it’s for the good.
To approach the deal with some rigor, we should try to approach it from the bottom-up. That is:
1. When you start with the premise that the whole deal is a good idea, evaluate that premise.
2. When you start with the premise that the whole deal is a bad idea, evaluate that premise.
3. In any situation, when you start with a premise, evaluate the premise.
Putting those points together can often lead to mutually inconsistent results. The point is not to focus on where you start. Instead, the point is to focus on where you end. That is, if you start by thinking that something is good, but when you get to the end of the analysis, you see that something else is better, then you are not actually considering alternatives in the first place.
There will always be some semi-fanatic zealots who will not be satisfied no matter what. But given that, we should be able to deal with them pretty easily. And the more we can do to step away from the bandwagon and make an honest evaluation of all of the arguments, we may make some changes that are good for us.
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About the Author
Russell Gering is a Director at the Ocean County Institute of Technology and enjoys teaching everything from microscopy to math.
His first book, The Real Guide to the New Jersey LASIK Surgeon Handbook, has just been published by
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